Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Club Nacional |
68.4% ( 0.01) | 19.14% ( -0) | 12.47% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% ( 0.01) | 44.86% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% ( 0) | 67.21% ( -0) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.94% ( 0) | 12.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.44% ( 0.01) | 37.56% ( -0) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.84% ( -0) | 46.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.16% | 81.84% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Corinthians | Draw | Club Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.45% 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.23% Total : 68.39% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.14% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 0.96% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.47% |
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