Despite defeating Vitoria last time out, Gremio must show more to prove a return to their finest form. Without an away win all season in seven attempts (one point from an available 21), that undesired streak should become eight against a side keen to go five matches on home turf without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Gremio
49.27% ( 0.38)	25.65% ( -0.02)	25.07% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 49.94% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

-0.2)

53.22% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

-0.17)

74.78% (

0.17)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38% (

0.09)

21.62% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.26% (

0.13)

54.73% (

-0.13)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-0.42)

36.28% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-0.43)

73.06% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 49.27%

Gremio 25.07%

Draw 25.65%

Corinthians	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.07%