SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
73.13% ( 0.27) | 16.48% ( -0.31) | 10.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( 1.61) | 38.25% ( -1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( 1.69) | 60.52% ( -1.69) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( 0.47) | 9.06% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.17% ( 1.12) | 30.83% ( -1.12) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( 1.16) | 45.52% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.89) | 81.34% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.55)3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.13)6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.05% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.48% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.38% |
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