Despite a number of suspension issues impacting their backline, Millwall should be confident of recording another solid success at The Den this weekend.
Coventry will have benefitted massively from a clear week on the training ground with new boss Lampard, but we still believe that the Sky Blues will suffer a narrow defeat in the capital.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.08) 
