Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
-0.07) 
0.12) 
