Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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