Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.
-0.66) 
0.95) 
