SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
52.1% ( 0.49) | 23.41% ( 0.11) | 24.49% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -1.03) | 44.41% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.01) | 66.78% ( 1) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.2) | 17.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% ( -0.35) | 47.23% ( 0.35) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -1.04) | 32% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.54% ( -1.21) | 68.46% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.49% |
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