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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
1 - 1
Cliftonville

Offord (34')
O'Rourke (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curran (32' pen.)
Leppard (40')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
41.86% (0.195 0.2) 24.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 33.6% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.383 -0.38)44.03% (0.385 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (-0.374 -0.37)66.41% (0.376 0.38)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.11% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-0.114 -0.11)53.95% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.333 -0.33)25.43% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.462 -0.46)60.25% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 41.86%
    Cliftonville 33.6%
    Draw 24.54%
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.86%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Crusaders
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballyclare Comrades 2-6 Crusaders
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Newington Youth
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Crumlin United 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Knockbreda 0-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Portadown
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Auda 2-0 Cliftonville
Wednesday, July 31 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Southport
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-2 Auda
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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