Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
41.86% ( 0.2) | 24.54% ( 0.07) | 33.6% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% ( -0.38) | 44.03% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% ( -0.37) | 66.41% ( 0.38) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -0.07) | 21.11% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% ( -0.11) | 53.95% ( 0.11) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( -0.33) | 25.43% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% ( -0.46) | 60.25% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.6% |
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