SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
30.68% ( 6.46) | 24.69% ( 0.79) | 44.63% ( -7.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( 2.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 1.02) | 45.8% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.96) | 68.12% ( -0.96) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 5.41) | 28.13% ( -5.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 6.38) | 63.8% ( -6.37) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -2.56) | 20.6% ( 2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -4.22) | 53.15% ( 4.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 1.18) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.86)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.66)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.52)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -1.21)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -1.64)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.71)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -1.26)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.46)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.67)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.63% |
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