Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.31) 
