Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
35.73% (![]() | 25.18% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.43% (![]() | 46.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.85% (![]() |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% (![]() | 60.2% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% (![]() | 57.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 8.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 11.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.09% |
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