SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
31% ( 0) | 23.16% ( 0.02) | 45.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.09) | 38.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.09) | 60.78% ( 0.1) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.04) | 24.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.06) | 58.7% ( 0.06) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.04) | 17.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -0.08) | 47.42% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 45.85% |
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