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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
NL

Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Newcastle


Guehi (4'), Hughes (75'), Doucoure (87'), Olise (90+4')
FT

Trippier (57'), Joelinton (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle United
31.33% (0.104 0.1) 26.39% (0.044 0.04) 42.27% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.137 -0.14)52.75% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (-0.117 -0.12)74.38% (0.122 0.12)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.134 -0.13)24.7% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.189 -0.19)59.24% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 31.33%
    Newcastle United 42.27%
    Draw 26.39%
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Man Utd
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Crystal Palace
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-3 Fulham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Fulham
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Newcastle
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League


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