Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
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