Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.07) 
