Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
