Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Cuiaba
57.61% ( 1.36)	24.23% ( -0.45)	18.16% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

0.51)

54.93% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.43)

76.22% (

-0.42)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

0.72)

18.92% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57% (

1.19)

50.43% (

-1.19)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

-0.77)

44.32% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

-0.63)

80.38% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Gremio 57.6%

Cuiaba 18.16%

Draw 24.23%

Gremio	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 57.6%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.16%