Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
-0.13) 
0.02) 
