Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.06) 
