SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Cuiaba |
42% ( -0.11) | 27.57% ( 0.18) | 30.42% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.41% ( -0.69) | 57.58% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( -0.55) | 78.36% ( 0.55) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.38) | 27.05% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.5) | 62.42% ( 0.5) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.42) | 34.33% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% ( -0.45) | 71.03% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coritiba | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.42% |
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