SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Latvia |
31.75% ( -0.37) | 26.99% ( -0.13) | 41.26% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( 0.38) | 55.01% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( 0.31) | 76.28% ( -0.31) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.06) | 32.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( -0.07) | 68.5% ( 0.07) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.44) | 26.25% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( 0.59) | 61.37% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.25% |
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