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Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
SJ

Dallas
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Obrian (57')
Ibeagha (60'), Twumasi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ebobisse (3')
Ebobisse (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

There is little separating the teams in terms of attacking prowess, but Dallas have been the much better team defensively and consequently, we are tipping them to emerge triumphant from what should be an open and end-to-end contest.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.01% (-0.522 -0.52) 24.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 24.26% (0.565 0.56)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.749 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (0.688 0.69)50.22% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82% (0.607 0.61)72.18% (-0.61 -0.61)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (0.057999999999993 0.06)19.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (0.097000000000001 0.1)51.68% (-0.1 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.88400000000001 0.88)35.35% (-0.887 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.909 0.91)72.11% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 51.01%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.26%
    Draw 24.73%
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Dallas
Thursday, September 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-3 Dallas
Thursday, September 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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