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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
50.87% ( -1.32) | 23.12% ( 0.31) | 26% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( -0.51) | 41.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.51) | 64.11% ( 0.51) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.66) | 16.51% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( -1.19) | 46.25% ( 1.18) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.52) | 29.34% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( 0.63) | 65.32% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26% |
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