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SJ
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
RS

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ebobisse (2'), Rodrigues (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arango (44')
Vera (13'), Arango (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake

San Jose need to start picking up regular wins to secure their place in the playoffs, but recent form suggests they are set to struggle on Saturday evening. Salt Lake will be feeling better about themselves after beating basement dwellers Colorado last time out, and we are expecting Mastroeni's side to make it back-to-back wins this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
54.74% (1.126 1.13) 22.09% (-0.248 -0.25) 23.17% (-0.879 -0.88)
Both teams to score 59.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.182 0.18)39.76% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.188 0.19)62.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.428 0.43)14.5% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (0.825 0.83)42.5% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (-0.633 -0.63)30.56% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.755 -0.76)66.79% (0.753 0.75)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 54.74%
    Real Salt Lake 23.17%
    Draw 22.08%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.196 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Earthquakes
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-3 Houston
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 3-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, August 24 at 2.30am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-2 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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