SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
45.46% ( 0.1) | 29.05% ( 0.02) | 25.49% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.26% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.12) | 64.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.43% ( -0.08) | 83.57% ( 0.08) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( -0.01) | 28.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( -0.01) | 64.31% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.73% ( -0.17) | 42.27% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.33% ( -0.15) | 78.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.49% |
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