Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
44.58% ( 0.03) | 24.54% ( 0) | 30.88% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.03) | 45.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.03) | 67.38% ( 0.03) |
Den Bosch Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% | 20.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 0) | 52.68% ( -0) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% ( -0.04) | 27.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% ( -0.05) | 63.14% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.88% |
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