Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
