SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 37 | -19 | 46 |
| 11 | VVV-Venlo | 37 | -15 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 37 | -24 | 38 |
| 18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
| 19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 42.53% | 25.85% | 31.62% |
| Both teams to score 53.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% | 50.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% | 72.36% |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.4% | 57.59% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.62% |
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