Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.