SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.32%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | River Plate |
12.37% ( -0.06) | 22.07% ( -0.08) | 65.57% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.16) | 56.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( 0.13) | 77.51% ( -0.13) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.01) | 53.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.01% ( -0.01) | 87% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.11) | 16.65% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.19) | 46.5% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 15.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 14.32% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.84% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 65.56% |
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