SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
46.04% ( 0.13) | 24.66% ( 0.13) | 29.3% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.71) | 46.32% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.67) | 68.61% ( 0.68) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( -0.23) | 20.2% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( -0.38) | 52.51% ( 0.38) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( -0.54) | 29.32% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.67) | 65.29% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.38% Total : 29.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
