SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
35.05% ( -0.11) | 24.17% ( -0.01) | 40.78% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( 0.03) | 41.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.03) | 64.38% ( -0.02) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.05) | 23.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -0.07) | 57.73% ( 0.08) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.07) | 20.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( 0.11) | 53.37% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.05% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.78% |
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