Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Alcorcon
63.81% ( -0.79)	22.39% ( 0.21)	13.8% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 41.4% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.01% (

0.34)

54.99% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

0.27)

76.26% (

-0.28)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

-0.15)

16.71% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.38% (

-0.27)

46.61% (

0.27)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.71% (

1.13)

50.29% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.14% (

0.76)

84.86% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Eibar 63.79%

Alcorcon 13.8%

Draw 22.38%

Eibar	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 63.79%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.8%