Despite losing at the weekend, HJK will be in a buoyant mood after retaining their league title, but we think their celebratory feeling will be quashed by a Frankfurt side that usually save their best performances for their home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
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