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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
HL

Frankfurt
6 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Ebimbe (12' pen., 89'), Koch (27'), Marmoush (30'), Tuta (45+3'), Skhiri (55')
Koch (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Tenho (26'), Keskinen (29'), Peltola (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 KuPS
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HJK Helsinki

Despite losing at the weekend, HJK will be in a buoyant mood after retaining their league title, but we think their celebratory feeling will be quashed by a Frankfurt side that usually save their best performances for their home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHJK Helsinki
65.43%20.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 14.18% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Both teams to score 48.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)46.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (0.004999999999999 0)68.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 65.41%
    HJK Helsinki 14.18%
    Draw 20.4%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHJK Helsinki
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 6.54%
4-0 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.7%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.4%
0-1 @ 4.82%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Aberdeen
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 KuPS
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 3-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: SJK 2-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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