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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
H

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Larsson (39'), Knauff (72')
Ngankam (11'), Max (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beste (23'), Muller (29'), Mainka (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Heidenheim

Although Frankfurt will understandably head into this match as favourites, the loss of Randal Kolo Muani to Paris Saint-Germain at the end of the summer transfer window has clearly hit them hard, and their results may suffer until the France forward is belatedly replaced in January. Heidenheim will be fresher and more confident having had no European involvements in midweek and beaten Union Berlin last time out, and we can envisage them returning home with another point to add to their growing tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
54.71% (0.328 0.33) 22.53% (-0.141 -0.14) 22.76% (-0.185 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.433 0.43)42.28% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.432 0.43)64.68% (-0.431 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.26300000000001 0.26)15.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.491 0.49)44.17% (-0.489 -0.49)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.076000000000008 0.08)32.31% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.087 0.09)68.81% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%
    Heidenheim 22.76%
    Draw 22.53%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Aberdeen
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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