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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 2
KuPS

Soiri (63')
Radulovic (84'), Ost (85'), Rogic (86'), Hetemaj (90+5'), Hamalainen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (8'), Saarinen (67')
Cisse (90+1'), Miettinen (90+7'), Yengi (90+7')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and KuPS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VPS 3-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 3-1 Honka
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawKuPS
33.05% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 27.86% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 39.09% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42% (0.052 0.05)57.99% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.041999999999998 0.04)78.68% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.22%
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.055999999999997 0.06)28.87% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)64.74% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 33.04%
    KuPS 39.09%
    Draw 27.85%
HJK HelsinkiDrawKuPS
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.04%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: VPS 3-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: SJK 2-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-0 Inter Turku
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 3-1 Honka
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 1-1 SJK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Inter Turku 0-1 KuPS
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-2 VPS
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Haka 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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