Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
33.05% ( -0.03) | 27.86% ( -0.02) | 39.09% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42% ( 0.05) | 57.99% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.31% ( 0.04) | 78.68% ( -0.04) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% ( 0) | 32.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% ( 0) | 69.22% |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( 0.06) | 28.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( 0.07) | 64.74% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.09% |
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