Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
-0.85) 
0.01) 
