While Estoril will be looking to continue their impressive home record, Rio Ave's record at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota means that Saturday's game will be anything but a straightforward affair. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
-0.32) 
0.64) 
