SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | River Plate |
36.22% ( 0.13) | 28.5% ( -0.02) | 35.28% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.3% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.91% ( 0.07) | 60.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.69% ( 0.05) | 80.3% ( -0.06) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( 0.12) | 31.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( 0.14) | 68.06% ( -0.14) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( -0.04) | 32.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% ( -0.04) | 68.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
