SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brentford |
43.95% ( 0.09) | 25.23% ( 0.01) | 30.81% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.1) | 48.11% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( -0.09) | 70.27% ( 0.09) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0) | 21.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0) | 55.12% ( 0.01) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.11) | 29.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% ( -0.14) | 65.13% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.81% |
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