Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brentford
43.43% ( 0.02)	26.39% ( 0)	30.17% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

-0.04)

53.19% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

-0.03)

74.75% (

0.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0)

24.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0)

58.7% (

-0)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.04)

32.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.05)

68.71% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Everton 43.42%

Brentford 30.17%

Draw 26.39%

Everton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.17%