SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
65.56% ( -0.04) | 18.76% ( 0.02) | 15.67% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.05) | 35.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.13% ( -0.06) | 57.87% ( 0.06) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( -0.03) | 10.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.47% ( -0.06) | 33.52% ( 0.06) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.01) | 35.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( -0.01) | 72.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.67% |
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