Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Burnley
56.52% ( 0.03)	23.36% ( -0.01)	20.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.01)

49.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.01)

71.13% (

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

17.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

0.01)

47.39% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.31% (

-0.03)

38.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.57% (

-0.03)

75.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Everton 56.51%

Burnley 20.12%

Draw 23.36%

Everton	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.51%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.12%