SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Rostov |
36.06% ( -0.07) | 27.29% ( -0.02) | 36.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.08) | 55.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( 0.06) | 76.7% ( -0.06) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0) | 29.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.52% ( -0) | 65.48% ( 0) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( 0.09) | 29.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( 0.11) | 65.04% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.64% |
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