Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
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