SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
55.86% ( -0.5) | 24.56% ( 0.13) | 19.57% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -0.04) | 54.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.03) | 75.78% ( 0.03) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( -0.21) | 19.39% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.8% ( -0.34) | 51.2% ( 0.34) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.39) | 42.37% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( 0.33) | 78.76% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.57% |
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