Famalicao's home advantage and recent win bode well against struggling Vizela. However, their inconsistency and Vizela's fight for survival could make it close. We expect a slender win for Famalicao in the end.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
-0.89) 
0.32) 
