Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Gloucester City |
48.04% ( -0.46) | 24.21% ( 0.18) | 27.74% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% ( -0.64) | 45.3% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% ( -0.61) | 67.64% ( 0.61) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.43) | 18.96% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.52% ( -0.72) | 50.48% ( 0.72) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( -0.13) | 29.92% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% ( -0.16) | 66.02% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Gloucester City |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.74% |
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