SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
24.54% ( 0.14) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 50.53% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( 0.06) | 50.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.05) | 72.7% ( -0.05) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.15) | 35.43% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 0.16) | 72.19% ( -0.15) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( -0.03) | 20.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( -0.06) | 52.37% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.54% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.52% |
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